Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.001090 0.001145 0.001202 0.001263 0.001330 0.001398 0.001475
2025-07-27 0.001007 0.001088 0.001173 0.001269 0.001377 0.001493 0.001628
2025-08-03 0.000953 0.001051 0.001158 0.001283 0.001427 0.001587 0.001780
2025-08-10 0.000901 0.001011 0.001134 0.001281 0.001454 0.001653 0.001900
2025-08-17 0.000843 0.000960 0.001091 0.001253 0.001447 0.001675 0.001966
2025-08-24 0.000800 0.000921 0.001061 0.001236 0.001450 0.001707 0.002042
2025-08-31 0.000771 0.000899 0.001048 0.001237 0.001472 0.001761 0.002146
2025-09-07 0.000739 0.000869 0.001024 0.001223 0.001475 0.001789 0.002217
2025-09-14 0.000711 0.000844 0.001004 0.001212 0.001481 0.001821 0.002292
2025-09-21 0.000685 0.000820 0.000984 0.001200 0.001483 0.001847 0.002361
2025-09-28 0.000660 0.000795 0.000962 0.001184 0.001478 0.001863 0.002415
2025-10-05 0.000630 0.000764 0.000930 0.001155 0.001455 0.001852 0.002430
2025-10-12 0.000614 0.000751 0.000923 0.001157 0.001477 0.001906 0.002545
2025-10-19 0.000600 0.000740 0.000918 0.001164 0.001504 0.001969 0.002676
2025-10-26 0.000589 0.000734 0.000918 0.001177 0.001540 0.002046 0.002831
2025-11-02 0.000574 0.000720 0.000908 0.001176 0.001555 0.002093 0.002945
2025-11-09 0.000551 0.000695 0.000882 0.001151 0.001536 0.002089 0.002979
2025-11-16 0.000533 0.000676 0.000864 0.001135 0.001530 0.002104 0.003043
2025-11-23 0.000521 0.000665 0.000857 0.001136 0.001547 0.002152 0.003162
2025-11-30 0.000506 0.000649 0.000841 0.001123 0.001543 0.002170 0.003232
2025-12-07 0.000492 0.000635 0.000828 0.001114 0.001544 0.002194 0.003313
2025-12-14 0.000479 0.000622 0.000814 0.001104 0.001542 0.002214 0.003387
2025-12-21 0.000465 0.000606 0.000799 0.001089 0.001534 0.002222 0.003441